Heron recently became interested in a community that seemed like it was on the upswing – the political, demographic, and financial trends that we saw all suggested that the community was on the brink of a revival.
We asked one of our fixed income managers about this place and they agreed with our analysis, but they flagged that the community still carried a multibillion-dollar unfunded pension liability. According to that manager, the community’s pension overhang is one of the biggest drags on its credit rating. Nisha Prasad, a member of Heron’s pensions work stream, provided a more detailed explanation:
A large pension overhang can indicate that a community’s long-term financial health is in jeopardy because it is not able to pay its pensioners, so it may have to cut other spending or raise other taxes to cover those pension obligations. This worsening financial outlook causes credit agencies to lower the community’s credit rating, indicating to investors that it’s riskier to invest in. This raises that community’s cost of borrowing money in the future.
This is one of the reasons that Heron’s fixed income managers still struggle to purchase securities from that place.
That fixed income manager’s insights were unfortunately not surprising, because pension liabilities are often cited by our capital markets partners and community partners alike as a chokepoint for local prosperity. As pension liabilities grow, the need to fund them often crowds out other services for low-income people from municipal budgets. And capital markets partners (like the fixed income manager we consulted) complain that outsized pension liabilities are increasingly making it difficult to invest in the communities that carry them.
But pension funds are cited by our partners as potential allies as well. Pension funds are, by definition, closely tethered to workers — particularly the type of Main Street workers who are otherwise underrepresented on Wall Street. And organizations like the Initiative for Responsible Investment work to support systematic thinking about responsible investment by trustees in addition to making a financial return to pay for their pension benefits.
With this background in mind, Heron is currently exploring the following strategic questions:
Pensions play a complicated role in communities across the country. Therefore, we are looking for input as to how pensions affect people in places, and how they can ultimately be used to further mainstream prosperity. Let us know your thoughts in the comments section below.